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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 25, 2020 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Medellin
0 - 1
Boca Juniors


Rodriguez (26'), Cadavid (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Salvio (88')
Campuzano (32'), Zambrano (38')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Independiente MedellinDrawBoca Juniors
26.83%26.79%46.38%
Both teams to score 48.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68%56.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65%77.35%
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53%36.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74%73.26%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74%24.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.38%58.62%
Score Analysis
    Independiente Medellin 26.83%
    Boca Juniors 46.38%
    Draw 26.79%
Independiente MedellinDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 8.93%
2-1 @ 6.38%
2-0 @ 4.5%
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 26.83%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 12.53%
1-2 @ 8.95%
0-2 @ 8.88%
1-3 @ 4.23%
0-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 46.38%


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