Defensa
3 - 0
Universitario

Pizzini (33'), Bou (71', 80' pen.)
Beccacece (38'), Britez (39'), Pizzini (54'), Frias (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Andre Alfageme Palacios (38'), Novick (66')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Defensa y Justicia and Universitario, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Universitario had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Universitario win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Universitario
45.61%	26.67%	27.71%

Both teams to score 49.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.58%

55.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.38%

76.61%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77%

24.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.42%

58.58%

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.73%

35.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.98%

72.02%

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 45.61%

Universitario 27.71%

Draw 26.67%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Universitario
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.61%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.07% Total : 27.71%