Palmeiras
1 - 2
Defensa

Defensa win 4-3 on penalties

Veiga (22' pen.)
Wesley (59'), de Paula (82'), Rocha (90+1'), Rony (110')
Vina (68')

FT
(aet)

Romero (30'), Benitez (90+3')
Beccacece (33'), Loaiza (63'), Benitez (84'), Frias (110')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONMEBOL Recopa clash between Palmeiras and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.95%).

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
58.6%	24.57%	16.83%

Both teams to score 41.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.11%

57.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.4%

78.6%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.32%

19.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.33%

51.67%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.26%

47.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.96%

83.04%

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 58.59%

Defensa y Justicia 16.83%

Draw 24.57%

Palmeiras	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.27% 2-0 @ 12.41% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 4.97% 4-0 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.44% Total : 58.59%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 3.39% Other @ 0.49% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 4.18% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.11% Total : 16.83%