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CONMEBOL Recopa | Final
Apr 15, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
DY

Palmeiras
1 - 2
Defensa

Defensa win 4-3 on penalties
Veiga (22' pen.)
Wesley (59'), de Paula (82'), Rocha (90+1'), Rony (110')
Vina (68')
FT
(aet)
Romero (30'), Benitez (90+3')
Beccacece (33'), Loaiza (63'), Benitez (84'), Frias (110')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.95%).

Result
PalmeirasDrawDefensa y Justicia
58.6%24.57%16.83%
Both teams to score 41.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11%57.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.4%78.6%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32%19.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33%51.67%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.26%47.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.96%83.04%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 58.59%
    Defensa y Justicia 16.83%
    Draw 24.57%
PalmeirasDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.27%
2-0 @ 12.41%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 4.97%
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 58.59%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 3.39%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 6.95%
1-2 @ 4.18%
0-2 @ 2.57%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 16.83%

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