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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 10, 2021 at 10.30pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 2
Talleres

Merentiel (3'), Escalante (54')
Rodriguez (9'), Herrera (39')
Breitenbruch (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Breitenbruch (43' og.), Rodriguez (67' og.)
Martin Hincapie Reyna (57'), Perez (80')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Talleres.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawTalleres
40.46%25.99%33.54%
Both teams to score 53.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5%50.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57%72.43%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37%24.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86%59.13%
Talleres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41%28.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62%64.38%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 40.46%
    Talleres 33.54%
    Draw 25.99%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawTalleres
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.46%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.82%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.54%

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