Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
