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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 25, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
0 - 1
Arsenal

Unsain (8' og.)
Gariglio (6'), Jeremias Fernandez (80'), Picco (85'), Frias (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawArsenal Sarandi
48.25%23.61%28.14%
Both teams to score 59.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7%42.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3%64.7%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63%48.36%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91%28.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25%63.75%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 48.25%
    Arsenal Sarandi 28.14%
    Draw 23.6%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawArsenal Sarandi
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 48.25%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.14%

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