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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
2 - 1
The Strongest

Carrillo (65'), Cetre (81')
Benedetti (17')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Triverio (21')
Lopez (9'), Ursino (32')
Enoumba (8')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Estudiantes and The Strongest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estudiantes 5-0 C. Cordoba
Saturday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: The Strongest 2-0 Gremio
Wednesday, April 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawThe Strongest
63.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 20.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 15.7% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.019999999999996 0.02)43.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)66.1% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (0.010999999999996 0.01)13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.46% (0.021000000000001 0.02)39.53% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.29%40.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)77.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 63.82%
    The Strongest 15.7%
    Draw 20.47%
EstudiantesDrawThe Strongest
2-0 @ 11.01%
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 63.82%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.45%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33%
1-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.7%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Estudiantes 5-0 C. Cordoba
Saturday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huachipato 1-1 Estudiantes
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Estudiantes
Friday, March 29 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 3-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-2 Platense
Wednesday, March 6 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-2 Estudiantes
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: The Strongest 2-0 Gremio
Wednesday, April 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Cristal
Thursday, June 8 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: The Strongest 1-0 Fluminense
Thursday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cristal 1-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, May 3 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 The Strongest
Tuesday, April 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores


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