Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 70.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 11.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.