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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense
1 - 0
The Strongest

Nino (40')
Kennedy (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Triverio (74')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fluminense and The Strongest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: The Strongest 3-1 River Plate
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 70.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 11.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawThe Strongest
70.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 18.37% (0.012 0.01) 11.28% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)44.48% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.85% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)11.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)36.19% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.8% (0.0040000000000013 0)83.2% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 70.34%
    The Strongest 11.28%
    Draw 18.37%
FluminenseDrawThe Strongest
2-0 @ 12.89%
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52%
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 70.34%
1-1 @ 8.73% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 18.37%
0-1 @ 4.02% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 11.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-3 Fluminense
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cristal 1-3 Fluminense
Thursday, April 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 3-0 Goias
Wednesday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 3-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, November 5 at 7.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 0-1 Fluminense
Monday, October 31 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: The Strongest 3-1 River Plate
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Ceara 3-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Caracas 0-0 The Strongest
Tuesday, May 17 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: The Strongest 5-0 Athletico PR
Tuesday, May 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores


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