Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 15.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Cristal | Draw | The Strongest |
61.63% ( -1.16) | 22.58% ( 0.42) | 15.78% ( 0.74) |
Both teams to score 45.26% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.7% ( -0.34) | 52.29% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26% ( -0.3) | 73.99% ( 0.29) |
Sporting Cristal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.47% ( -0.52) | 16.52% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.73% ( -0.93) | 46.26% ( 0.92) |
The Strongest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.21% ( 0.82) | 45.78% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.44% ( 0.63) | 81.55% ( -0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Cristal | Draw | The Strongest |
1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.78% Total : 61.62% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.78% |
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