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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 0
The Strongest

Aliendro (13'), Borja (90')
de la Cruz (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Triverio (37'), Ursino (54'), Quiroga (67'), Arrascaita (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Instituto
Thursday, June 22 at 11.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Cristal
Thursday, June 8 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

We said: River Plate 3-1 The Strongest

River Plate will be confident of securing their safe passage through to the knockout stages with a victory, and we expect them to do so given their superior individual ability. The Strongest are regular qualifiers for the Copa Libertadores, but they rarely make it beyond the group stages, and we think that will be the case once again this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 83.05%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 5.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.18%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for River Plate.

Result
River PlateDrawThe Strongest
83.05% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32) 11.59% (0.212 0.21) 5.37% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 42.67% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.7% (-0.583 -0.58)33.3% (0.586 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.93% (-0.671 -0.67)55.07% (0.67299999999999 0.67)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.11% (-0.17 -0.17)5.89% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.42% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)22.58% (0.494 0.49)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.34% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)54.66% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.32% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)87.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 83.04%
    The Strongest 5.37%
    Draw 11.59%
River PlateDrawThe Strongest
2-0 @ 12.91% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.185 0.19)
4-0 @ 8.63% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.21% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-0 @ 4.88% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.95% (-0.07 -0.07)
6-0 @ 2.3% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.048 -0.05)
7-0 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 83.04%
1-1 @ 5.51% (0.102 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.22% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 2.36% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 11.59%
0-1 @ 1.95% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 1.66% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 5.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Instituto
Thursday, June 22 at 11.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Defensa
Sunday, June 18 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 1-4 River Plate
Monday, June 12 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Fluminense
Thursday, June 8 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Tuesday, May 30 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cristal 1-1 River Plate
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Cristal
Thursday, June 8 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: The Strongest 1-0 Fluminense
Thursday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cristal 1-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, May 3 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 The Strongest
Tuesday, April 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: The Strongest 3-1 River Plate
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Ceara 3-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana


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