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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 22, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Flamengo
3 - 1
Junior

Thuler (11'), Lincoln (40'), Henrique (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gutierrez (69')
Cetre (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Flamengo and Atletico Junior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.13%) and 3-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawAtletico Junior
68.42%20.18%11.41%
Both teams to score 41.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34%51.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56%73.45%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89%14.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26%41.75%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.74%52.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.83%86.18%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 68.41%
    Atletico Junior 11.41%
    Draw 20.18%
FlamengoDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 14.44%
2-0 @ 14.13%
3-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-1 @ 5.99%
4-0 @ 4.52%
4-1 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 1.94%
5-0 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 68.41%
1-1 @ 9.37%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.18%
0-1 @ 4.79%
1-2 @ 3.04%
0-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 11.41%


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