Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.13%) and 3-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
