Vasco
1 - 2
Flamengo

Magno (9')
Tenorio (1'), Magno (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereira (48'), Henrique (71')
Diego (11'), Maia (61'), Henrique (73'), Pereira (89'), Vitinho (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Flamengo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.27%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Flamengo
19.74%	23.99%	56.27%

Both teams to score 48.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.94%

52.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.21%

73.79%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.16%

40.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.59%

77.41%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.65%

18.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.54%

49.46%

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 19.74%

Flamengo 56.26%

Draw 23.99%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 6.71% 2-1 @ 5.1% 2-0 @ 3.01% 3-1 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.74%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 12.7% 0-2 @ 10.77% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 5.45% 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.24% Total : 56.26%