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Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Oct 4, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
AP

Flamengo
3 - 1
Athletico PR

Pedro (56'), Henrique (59' pen.), Ribeiro (77')
Noga (26'), Luis (45'), Henrique (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kayzer (67')
Erick (26'), Richard (65'), Martins (90'), Christian (90')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
65.87%20.76%13.37%
Both teams to score 44.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38%49.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36%71.64%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75%14.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.99%42.01%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.32%47.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.01%82.99%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 65.86%
    Athletico Paranaense 13.37%
    Draw 20.76%
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.23%
2-0 @ 12.89%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 8.38%
3-1 @ 6.21%
4-0 @ 4.08%
4-1 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.3%
5-0 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 65.86%
1-1 @ 9.8%
0-0 @ 6.79%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 20.76%
0-1 @ 5.03%
1-2 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 13.37%


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