Gremio
2 - 0
Catolica

Pepe (47'), Rodrigues (63')
Manuel Orejuela (7'), Robinho (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedro Fuenzalida (30'), Aued (31'), Rebolledo (69')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Gremio and Universidad Catolica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 21.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Universidad Catolica
55.11%	23.87%	21.02%

Both teams to score 50.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.97%

50.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.99%

72.01%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.97%

18.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.09%

48.91%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.69%

38.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.94%

75.06%

Score Analysis

Gremio 55.1%

Universidad Catolica 21.02%

Draw 23.87%

Gremio	Draw	Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 11.83% 2-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.1%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.63% 1-2 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.52% Total : 21.02%