SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
30.26% ( -0.13) | 27.36% ( -0.09) | 42.38% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.46% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.16% ( 0.29) | 56.84% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% ( 0.23) | 77.77% ( -0.23) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( 0.06) | 34.06% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% ( 0.06) | 70.74% ( -0.06) |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( 0.25) | 26.5% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.3% ( 0.34) | 61.7% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.26% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.37% |
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