Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
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