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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Belvedere
ID

Liverpool
1 - 0
Independiente

Bentancourt (65')
Bentancourt (9'), Lemos (43'), Meli (44'), Zunino (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pellerano (73'), Faravelli (77'), Sornoza (90+2')
Ramirez (45+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Liverpool and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Liverpool
Saturday, May 13 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 46.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 26.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawIndependiente del Valle
26.65% (-0.029 -0.03) 26.7% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 46.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.22% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (0.059999999999995 0.06)56.12% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81% (0.048000000000002 0.05)77.19% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)36.52% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)73.31% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.049000000000007 0.05)24.04% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (0.07 0.07)58.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 26.65%
    Independiente del Valle 46.65%
    Draw 26.7%
LiverpoolDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 26.65%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.92% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 46.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Liverpool
Saturday, May 13 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 4-2 Maldonado
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boston River 1-3 Liverpool
Friday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Cerro
Monday, April 24 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, April 19 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Corinthians 1-2 Independiente
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, April 19 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Independiente
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Independiente (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, March 1 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Flamengo
Wednesday, February 22 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Independiente
Saturday, October 1 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana


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