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Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 9, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte

Nacional
1 - 6
El Nacional

Prost (45+1')
Prost (8'), Andia (35')
FT(HT: 1-5)
Ordonez (5', 38'), Chala (13'), Carrillo (16'), Solis (45+4'), Asprilla (89')
Parrales (26'), Carrillo (43'), Nazareno (87'), Micolta (88')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Nacional Potosi and El Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Nacional 1-2 Guabira
Wednesday, April 7 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: El Nacional 2-2 Fenix
Friday, February 21 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for El Nacional had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest El Nacional win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Nacional PotosiDrawEl Nacional
49.56% (0.11499999999999 0.11) 24.13% (-0.029 -0.03) 26.31% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.85% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01% (0.061 0.06)45.99% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7% (0.059000000000001 0.06)68.3% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (0.067999999999998 0.07)18.62% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.08% (0.116 0.12)49.92% (-0.113 -0.11)
El Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)31.37% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)67.74% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nacional Potosi 49.56%
    El Nacional 26.31%
    Draw 24.13%
Nacional PotosiDrawEl Nacional
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 49.56%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 1-2 Guabira
Wednesday, April 7 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Guabira 4-1 Nacional
Wednesday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Melgar 0-2 Nacional (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 19 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Melgar
Tuesday, February 4 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Zulia 0-1 Nacional (2-0 pen.)
Tuesday, April 16 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 0-1 Zulia
Wednesday, March 20 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: El Nacional 2-2 Fenix
Friday, February 21 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fenix 1-0 El Nacional
Wednesday, February 5 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: El Nacional 1-0 Defensa
Tuesday, July 31 at 11.30pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 2-0 El Nacional
Wednesday, July 18 at 11.30pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: San Jose 1-1 El Nacional
Tuesday, March 6 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: El Nacional 3-2 San Jose
Thursday, February 22 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana


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