SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for El Nacional had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest El Nacional win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional Potosi | Draw | El Nacional |
49.56% ( 0.11) | 24.13% ( -0.03) | 26.31% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( 0.06) | 45.99% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.7% ( 0.06) | 68.3% ( -0.06) |
| Nacional Potosi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0.07) | 18.62% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.08% ( 0.12) | 49.92% ( -0.11) |
| El Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( -0.03) | 31.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% ( -0.04) | 67.74% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional Potosi | Draw | El Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.56% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.31% |
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