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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Palestra Italia

Palmeiras
5 - 0
Bolivar

Willian (3'), Wesley (47'), Vina (59'), Veiga (61'), Rony (64')
Gomez (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carlos Fernandez Toro (58')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Bolivar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
62.92%20.75%16.33%
Both teams to score 52.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.24%43.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.85%66.15%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71%13.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.89%40.1%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07%39.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41%76.59%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 62.91%
    Bolivar 16.33%
    Draw 20.75%
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
2-0 @ 10.8%
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 6.68%
4-0 @ 3.67%
4-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-2 @ 1.55%
5-0 @ 1.48%
5-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 62.91%
1-1 @ 9.83%
0-0 @ 5.31%
2-2 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.75%
0-1 @ 4.87%
1-2 @ 4.51%
0-2 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 16.33%


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