SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
| 62.65% | 22.48% | 14.87% |
| Both teams to score 43.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% | 53.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.02% | 74.98% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% | 16.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.63% | 46.36% |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.23% | 47.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.94% | 83.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
| 1-0 @ 14.22% 2-0 @ 12.78% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 5.66% 4-0 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.94% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.7% Total : 62.63% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 3.49% Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.48% | 0-1 @ 5.85% 1-2 @ 3.88% 0-2 @ 2.16% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.02% Total : 14.87% |
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