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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 21, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
1 - 0
Catolica

Rocha (36')
Rocha (33'), Melo (40'), Dudu (75'), Renan (80'), Weverton (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Parot (30'), Zampedri (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawUniversidad Catolica
62.65%22.48%14.87%
Both teams to score 43.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02%74.98%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42%16.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.63%46.36%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.23%47.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.94%83.05%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 62.63%
    Universidad Catolica 14.87%
    Draw 22.48%
PalmeirasDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 14.22%
2-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 5.66%
4-0 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.09%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 0.94%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 62.63%
1-1 @ 10.51%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 3.49%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.85%
1-2 @ 3.88%
0-2 @ 2.16%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 14.87%

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