Catolica
2 - 0
Atletico Nacional

Aued (9'), Valencia (79')
Valencia (22'), Saavedra (36'), Nunez (52'), Perez (67'), Astaburuaga (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Candelo (45+2'), Rovira (68'), Hernandez (71')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Universidad Catolica and Atletico Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result
Universidad Catolica	Draw	Atletico Nacional
50.1%	22.14%	27.76%

Both teams to score 64.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.4%

35.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.34%

57.66%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.44%

14.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.39%

42.61%

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1%

24.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48%

59.53%

Score Analysis

Universidad Catolica 50.1%

Atletico Nacional 27.76%

Draw 22.14%

Universidad Catolica	Draw	Atletico Nacional
2-1 @ 9.36% 1-0 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-0 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 4.18% 4-1 @ 2.9% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.12% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.1%	1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 3.63% 3-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.14%	1-2 @ 6.75% 0-1 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 1.62% 1-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.57% Total : 27.76%