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Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jul 10, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Palestra Italia
S

Palmeiras
3 - 2
Santos

Gomez (19'), Lopes (22'), Willian (83')
Jailson (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sanchez (69' pen.), Marinho (90+2' pen.)
Mota (15'), Camacho (42'), Marinho (82'), Fernandes (87'), Junior de Moraes Rodrigues (90+3'), Guilherme (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawSantos
55%23.93%21.08%
Both teams to score 50.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.81%50.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85%72.15%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88%18.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.92%49.08%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.65%38.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.9%75.1%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 54.99%
    Santos 21.08%
    Draw 23.92%
PalmeirasDrawSantos
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 5.53%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 54.99%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.95%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.66%
1-2 @ 5.45%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.49%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 21.08%

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