Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
