Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
