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Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Nov 24, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
B

Flamengo
1 - 0
Bragantino

De Arrascaeta (75')
Matheuzinho (15'), Maia (36'), Bruno (55'), Lucas (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Capixaba (21'), Candido (47'), Helinho (55')
Borbas (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Fluminense
Saturday, November 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-2 Botafogo
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-1 Bragantino

No team in the division has picked up more points than Bragantino's tally of 27 in the last 13 matches, and a draw would be much more favourable to the visitors, even if they would prefer all three. Flamengo have proved themselves as being capable of taking on the top sides in the league over the past few weeks, but this will be a difficult test, and an underwhelming draw may be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBragantino
52.91% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 23.55% (0.0010000000000012 0) 23.54% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.86% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.25%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)17.33% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)47.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)33.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)70.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 52.9%
    Bragantino 23.54%
    Draw 23.55%
FlamengoDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 52.9%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 23.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Fluminense
Saturday, November 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, November 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-2 Flamengo
Sunday, November 5 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Santos
Wednesday, November 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-2 Flamengo
Thursday, October 26 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-2 Botafogo
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Bragantino
Wednesday, November 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Corinthians
Sunday, November 5 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-2 Bragantino
Thursday, November 2 at 9pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, October 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Fluminense
Sunday, October 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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