SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Botafogo |
57.8% ( -0.16) | 24.54% ( 0.05) | 17.65% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 43.45% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.28% ( -0.04) | 56.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.33% ( -0.03) | 77.67% ( 0.03) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( -0.08) | 19.53% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.57% ( -0.13) | 51.43% ( 0.12) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54% ( 0.11) | 46% ( -0.11) |
