Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
-1.21) 
0.42) 
