Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
