Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Banfield win was 1-0 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
