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Copa Diego Maradona | Fase Campeon
Jan 4, 2021 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
1 - 2
Gimnasia

Romero (78')
Hausch (74')
Rodriguez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ramirez (76'), Barrios (89')
Palazzo (34'), Ayala (45+1'), Contin (60'), Ramirez (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Fase Campeon clash between San Lorenzo and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawGimnasia
41.81%28.68%29.51%
Both teams to score 44.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.3%61.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.49%81.51%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88%29.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95%65.05%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76%37.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97%74.03%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 41.81%
    Gimnasia 29.51%
    Draw 28.67%
San LorenzoDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 13.38%
2-0 @ 8.25%
2-1 @ 8.15%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.05%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 29.51%

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