Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
