Aucas
0 - 1
Athletico PR

Quinonez (59')
Cuero (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Erick (38')
Nikao (47'), Canesin (52'), Henrique (55')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Aucas and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Aucas	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
47.97%	23.05%	28.98%

Both teams to score 61.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.88%

39.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.55%

61.45%

Aucas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.39%

16.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.58%

46.42%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1%

25.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.11%

60.89%

Score Analysis

Aucas 47.97%

Athletico Paranaense 28.98%

Draw 23.05%

Aucas	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.44% Total : 47.97%	1-1 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 4.3% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.05%	1-2 @ 7.05% 0-1 @ 5.81% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.98%