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Thursday, November 21
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AP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Feb 26, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Arena da Baixada

Athletico PR
2 - 0
Sport

Nikao (7'), Cittadini (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Adryelson (26'), Ventura (45+2')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Sport Recife.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSport Recife
48.18%27.1%24.72%
Both teams to score 45.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.24%58.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.72%79.28%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52%24.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07%58.93%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33%39.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65%76.35%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 48.17%
    Sport Recife 24.72%
    Draw 27.1%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSport Recife
1-0 @ 13.66%
2-0 @ 9.62%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-1 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.17%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.98%
1-2 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 24.72%

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