Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
