SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 44.15% | 27.49% | 28.36% |
| Both teams to score 47.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.91% | 58.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% | 78.76% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% | 26.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.76% | 61.24% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% | 36.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.03% | 72.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ceara | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.08% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.92% Total : 28.36% |
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