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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
2 - 1
Tolima

Castrillon (10' og.), Ytalo (45'), Mosquera (90+4' pen.)
Balanta (11'), Helinho (28'), Estaban Trujillo Riascos (56'), Ryller (79'), David Rios (88'), Quinones (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bragantino and Deportes Tolima.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawDeportes Tolima
51.28%25.72%22.99%
Both teams to score 47.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82%55.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58%76.41%
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44%21.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36%54.64%
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73%39.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02%75.97%
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 51.28%
    Deportes Tolima 22.99%
    Draw 25.72%
BragantinoDrawDeportes Tolima
1-0 @ 12.99%
2-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 51.28%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.91%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.7%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 22.99%

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