Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
