Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Coquimbo Unido and Estudiantes Merida.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coquimbo Unido win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coquimbo Unido win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coquimbo Unido would win this match.
