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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 29, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jocay

Delfin
4 - 3
Real Tomayapo

Messiniti (4'), Elordi (22'), Mino (75'), Enrique Angulo (76')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Agustin Graneros (1'), Jesus Noble (11'), Rioja (32')
Rioja (84')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Delfin and Real Tomayapo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Belgrano 1-1 Delfin
Thursday, May 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Belgrano 1-0 Real Tomayapo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Delfin win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Real Tomayapo had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Delfin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Real Tomayapo win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Delfin would win this match.

Result
DelfinDrawReal Tomayapo
61.35% (0.346 0.35) 23.02% (-0.171 -0.17) 15.63% (-0.174 -0.17)
Both teams to score 43.74% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (0.358 0.36)54.17% (-0.359 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42% (0.298 0.3)75.58% (-0.298 -0.3)
Delfin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (0.252 0.25)17.28% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38% (0.439 0.44)47.62% (-0.44 -0.44)
Real Tomayapo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)47.12% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)82.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Delfin 61.34%
    Real Tomayapo 15.63%
    Draw 23.01%
DelfinDrawReal Tomayapo
1-0 @ 14.29% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 12.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.34% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.34%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 15.63%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Belgrano 1-1 Delfin
Thursday, May 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Delfin 1-2 Internacional
Friday, April 26 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Delfin 1-1 Belgrano
Friday, April 12 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Real Tomayapo 0-2 Delfin
Friday, April 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuenca 2-5 Delfin
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Delfin
Wednesday, March 8 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Belgrano 1-0 Real Tomayapo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Real Tomayapo 0-2 Belgrano
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Real Tomayapo
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Real Tomayapo 0-2 Delfin
Friday, April 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Real Tomayapo 0-0 Wilstermann (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, March 5 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana


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