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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Banco del Austro

Cuenca
2 - 5
Delfin

Becerra (69', 90+3')
Romero (44'), Fratta (81')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Enrique Angulo (9', 59'), Gariglio (30'), Oyola (41'), Fratta (74' og.)
Elordi (39'), Cuero (45+3'), Reyes (48'), Sambonino (82')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Deportivo Cuenca and Delfin.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Emelec 2-1 Cuenca
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Delfin
Wednesday, March 8 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Cuenca win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Delfin had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Cuenca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Delfin win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo CuencaDrawDelfin
46.23% (0.202 0.2) 25.78% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 27.99% (-0.174 -0.17)
Both teams to score 51.91% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)51.79% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.026 0.03)73.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Deportivo Cuenca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.10299999999999 0.1)22.38% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (0.15799999999999 0.16)55.88% (-0.163 -0.16)
Delfin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (-0.117 -0.12)33.12% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (-0.13 -0.13)69.72% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Cuenca 46.23%
    Delfin 27.99%
    Draw 25.78%
Deportivo CuencaDrawDelfin
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 27.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Emelec 2-1 Cuenca
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Cuenca
Thursday, October 4 at 11.30pm in
Last Game: Cuenca 0-2 Fluminense
Thursday, September 20 at 11.30pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Wilstermann 2-2 Cuenca (5-6 pen.)
Tuesday, July 31 at 11.30pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuenca 2-2 Wilstermann
Thursday, July 19 at 11.30pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuenca 2-0 Sportivo (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, March 8 at 12.45am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Delfin
Wednesday, March 8 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: 9 de Octubre 2-0 Delfin
Friday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Delfin 1-1 9 de Octubre
Friday, March 11 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Palmeiras 5-0 Delfin
Wednesday, December 2 at 10.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Delfin 1-3 Palmeiras
Wednesday, November 25 at 10.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Olimpia 0-1 Delfin
Tuesday, October 20 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores


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