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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio IV Centenario

Real Tomayapo
0 - 2
Belgrano


Losada (25'), Padilha (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lencioni (17'), Marin (83')
Galindo (25'), Cruz Real (26'), Heredia (74')
Meriano (28')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Real Tomayapo and Belgrano.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Real Tomayapo
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Belgrano 0-4 Racing
Tuesday, April 16 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.95%. A win for Real Tomayapo had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Real Tomayapo win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
Real TomayapoDrawBelgrano
35.5% (-0.064 -0.06) 28.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.95% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.25% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)80.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Real Tomayapo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)32.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)68.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.09% (0.043999999999997 0.04)31.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)68.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Tomayapo 35.5%
    Belgrano 35.94%
    Draw 28.55%
Real TomayapoDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.5%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Real Tomayapo
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Real Tomayapo 0-2 Delfin
Friday, April 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Real Tomayapo 0-0 Wilstermann (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, March 5 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Belgrano 0-4 Racing
Tuesday, April 16 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Delfin 1-1 Belgrano
Friday, April 12 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union 1-2 Belgrano
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-0 Internacional
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tigre 1-4 Belgrano
Friday, March 29 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-1 Lanus
Thursday, March 21 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division


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