Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 5, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio IV Centenario
Real Tomayapo win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Real Tomayapo and Jorge Wilstermann.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Tomayapo win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Tomayapo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Jorge Wilstermann win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Real Tomayapo | Draw | Jorge Wilstermann |
53.69% ( 0.52) | 25.51% ( -0.33) | 20.8% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 45.59% ( 0.61) |
| 43.52% ( 0.94) | 56.48% ( -0.95) |
| 22.52% ( 0.76) | 77.48% ( -0.76) |
| 78.92% ( 0.6) | 21.08% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.1% ( 0.93) | 53.9% ( -0.94) |
| 57.77% ( 0.33) | 42.23% ( -0.34) |
