SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 67.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Deportivo Cuenca had a probability of 12.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.72%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Deportivo Cuenca win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Deportivo Cuenca |
67.48% ( -0.38) | 20.44% ( 0.19) | 12.08% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 42.25% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% ( -0.29) | 51.14% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% ( -0.26) | 72.99% ( 0.26) |
| Emelec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.76% ( -0.21) | 14.23% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.02% ( -0.41) | 41.98% ( 0.41) |
| Deportivo Cuenca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.26% ( 0.16) | 50.74% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.83% ( 0.11) | 85.16% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emelec | Draw | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.72% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 67.47% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.44% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 12.08% |
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