Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Gentile (30'), Erustes (63' pen.), Gordillo (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ortiz (25', 37')
Marchan (56'), Villete (58'), Villero (78')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and Metropolitanos.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Garcilaso win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Garcilaso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Garcilaso would win this match.
| Result |
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Draw | Metropolitanos |
51.64% ( 0.28) | 25.39% ( -0.08) | 22.96% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 48.54% ( 0.01) |
| 46.02% ( 0.13) | 53.98% ( -0.13) |
| 24.58% ( 0.11) | 75.42% ( -0.11) |
| Deportivo Garcilaso Goals |
| 79.08% ( 0.17) | 20.92% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.35% ( 0.26) | 53.65% ( -0.26) |
| 61.37% ( -0.12) | 38.62% ( 0.12) |
