Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 74.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.