Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Guaira win with a probability of 47.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Hermanos Colmenares had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Hermanos Colmenares win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo La Guaira would win this match.
