America
3 - 1
Deportivo

Ramos (21' pen., 72'), Moreno (55')
Alejandro Paz (37')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ortiz (30')
Olses (20'), Pernia (79'), Pol (90+4')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between America de Cali and Deportivo La Guaira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Guaira win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Guaira win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
America de Cali	Draw	Deportivo La Guaira
33.61%	26.89%	39.49%

Both teams to score 50.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.8%

54.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.4%

75.6%

America de Cali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63%

30.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.44%

66.55%

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16%

26.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86%

62.14%

Score Analysis

America de Cali 33.62%

Deportivo La Guaira 39.48%

Draw 26.89%

America de Cali	Draw	Deportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.62%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.48%