Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a General Caballero JLM win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a General Caballero JLM win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
