SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Huachipato had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Huachipato win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huachipato | Draw | Racing Club |
29.92% ( -0.19) | 26.53% ( 0) | 43.54% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% ( -0.09) | 53.83% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.7% ( -0.07) | 75.3% ( 0.07) |
| Huachipato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( -0.18) | 32.73% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( -0.21) | 69.29% ( 0.21) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( 0.06) | 24.55% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.97% ( 0.08) | 59.02% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huachipato | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.93% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.54% |
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