SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.91%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Gimnasia |
64.54% ( 0.1) | 21.51% ( 0.01) | 13.95% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% ( -0.24) | 51.45% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( -0.21) | 73.26% ( 0.21) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( -0.05) | 15.26% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.05% ( -0.09) | 43.95% ( 0.08) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.09% ( -0.32) | 47.9% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.84% ( -0.23) | 83.16% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 64.53% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.51% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 13.95% |
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