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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio CAP

Huachipato
2 - 3
Racing

Martinez (4', 63')
Malanca (30'), Martinez (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cotugno (31', 49'), Nandin (38')
Magallanes (17'), Monzon (56'), Nandin (66'), Ferreira (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Huachipato 0-1 Gremio
Wednesday, June 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Maldonado 1-1 Racing
Friday, July 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

We said: Huachipato 2-1 Racing de Montevideo

Huachipato have been inconsistent at home, and Racing CM are on a winless streak, suggesting a closely fought match between the two sides on Tuesday. However, the hosts have demonstrated superior quality over the past year and hold a slight advantage over the visitors, making them favourites to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
HuachipatoDrawRacing de Montevideo
51.05% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 24.51% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 24.45% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.84% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)49.16% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)71.23% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Huachipato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)19.26% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)50.98% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39% (0.087999999999994 0.09)34.61% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67% (0.093 0.09)71.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Huachipato 51.04%
    Racing de Montevideo 24.45%
    Draw 24.5%
HuachipatoDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 51.04%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 24.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huachipato 0-1 Gremio
Wednesday, June 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-4 Huachipato
Wednesday, May 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: The Strongest 4-0 Huachipato
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Huachipato 0-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, April 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Huachipato
Tuesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Huachipato 1-1 Estudiantes
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Maldonado 1-1 Racing
Friday, July 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 3-2 Racing
Sunday, July 7 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Defensor
Saturday, June 22 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Racing
Sunday, June 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Fenix
Saturday, June 8 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-3 Racing
Sunday, June 2 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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