Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
Result | ||
Independiente Medellin | Draw | Palestino |
48.32% (![]() | 26.24% (![]() | 25.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.81% (![]() | 55.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.57% (![]() | 76.43% (![]() |
Independiente Medellin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.13% (![]() | 22.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.39% (![]() | 56.61% (![]() |
Palestino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.96% (![]() | 37.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.17% (![]() | 73.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Independiente Medellin | Draw | Palestino |
1-0 @ 12.49% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 48.31% | 1-1 @ 12.41% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.41% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.44% |
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