SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Palestino | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
39.04% ( -0.21) | 26.93% ( 0.09) | 34.02% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.91% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( -0.33) | 54.27% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% ( -0.27) | 75.67% ( 0.27) |
| Palestino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0.27) | 27.12% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.49% ( -0.35) | 62.51% ( 0.35) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( -0.09) | 30.14% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( -0.1) | 66.29% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palestino | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.02% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
