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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

LDU Quito
3 - 0
Always Ready

Arce (16'), Ade (27'), Julio (53')
Julio (48'), Alzugaray (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Caicedo (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: LDU Quito 2-0 Universitario
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Medellin 4-0 Always Ready
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: LDU Quito 2-0 Always Ready

LDU are the current champions of this competition and are formidable on home turf, making them clear favourites going into this encounter. Furthermore, Always Ready are facing an unknown quantity in this match as the hosts have a new manager, which is a factor alongside their poor away record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawAlways Ready
66.97% (0.46299999999999 0.46) 19.72% (-0.263 -0.26) 13.31% (-0.203 -0.2)
Both teams to score 47.91% (0.285 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (0.682 0.68)45.43% (-0.686 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.23% (0.648 0.65)67.76% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (0.33799999999999 0.34)12.63% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (0.697 0.7)38.75% (-0.701 -0.7)
Always Ready Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.83% (0.113 0.11)45.17% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.93% (0.088000000000001 0.09)81.07% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 66.96%
    Always Ready 13.31%
    Draw 19.72%
LDU QuitoDrawAlways Ready
2-0 @ 12.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.42% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.36% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.042 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.8% (0.063 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 66.96%
1-1 @ 9.38% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.72%
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.8% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 13.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: LDU Quito 2-0 Universitario
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: LDU Quito 0-1 Junior
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 LDU Quito
Thursday, May 9 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Junior 1-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: LDU Quito 1-0 Botafogo
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Universitario 2-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 3 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Medellin 4-0 Always Ready
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 2-2 Always Ready
Thursday, May 16 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Always Ready 3-0 Defensa
Wednesday, May 8 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Always Ready 2-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Always Ready
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Always Ready 2-0 Medellin
Friday, April 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana


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